Articles tagged 'Reviews'
Caulfield Cup Day - Review
How do you rate 113/122 and not win a Caulfield Cup
Hill Stakes Day Review
Kovalica franks his XR111 first up with XR 111 in the G2 Hill Stakes.
Is value at $34 in the Cox Plate
We kicked off with a average Midway where top pick Alabama State went to a whole new level with a dominant 97/97, runner up Treize only had an XR of 88 whilst 3rd placed Piraeus caught the eye with 92/98, he has bobbed up in the mid 90's in the past and if he can hold form there is a Midway for him. Ticks for Totoka and Apoolo Mission
R2 was a poor Highway, i said avoid in like the plague and that was sage advice with the $12.50 rated winner being 21 into 11 before winning with 92/80 Mazita 2nd with XR 85 and Straight Fire 3rd with XR 86 are the other 2 to get ticks.
I made a silly call here in making Medatsu a ...
G1 Epsom- Metrop Day Review
Zardozi is Caulfield Cup bound after 115/116 when a bold 2nd
We lost Tommy Hooligan in the 1st leaving it 4 equal top and it $7.20 the field we had $10 winner State Of America rated at $9 but he was only confirmed XR 93 last time in and we got 110/114, I mean, perhaps first use of track but he did have 95/104 in a win same T&D last November. He had 2 lengths on lightly raced 4yo Flying Bandit who had won 2 of 5 previously and peaked here 3rd up having first run at 9 furlongs and his 101/107 puts him straight in the BB Extreme Freedom 101 and Agita 102 both get big ticks the rest all more than 5 lengths off the winner.
Turnbull Day Review
Star mare Via Sistina is Cox Plate bound after 111/115 in her G1 Turnbull win.
Lets start at the top and go straight to the Turnbull where our top3 filled the podium. Our Gold Miner Eliyass ran 3rd after looking the winner half way down running but neg split with 104/100 and Via Sistina who had already racked up XR 110 and XR 115 produced a new peak 111/117. Worth noting here she is $5 in the Cox Plate with Japanese eraider Prognosis $4 Fav, we have seen him 3 times at 2000m at Shatin where he has a best SR of 115 and he is confirmed XR 111 running 2nd in 2 G1's the latest behind last years Cox Plate hero Romantic Warrior.. So is top draw. My personal doubt about Buckeroo getting a strong 2000m is now gone after the Magic One got 110/117 out of him. They ran the same XR yet this guy is $18 in the Cox Plate.
Golden Rose Day Review
Dual G1 winner Broadsiding back with bang and an XR 109.
R3 was the G3 Colin Stephen at 2400m and its the first race we need to take note of, and we found the Trifecta in the top3. Winner a triple confirmed XR 98 horse First Light who rated 101/94, h+he was a dominant 3 length winner over Changingoftheguard 89/75. Our Lay here Campaldino ran nowhere with 75/67
G1 Manikato Night Review
Same same but different 114/108 beats 108/115 - 2 genuine stars
R1. I was eagerly awaiting the return of Gallant Son whom i had $2.20 off a predicted Sr 94 and we got 95/88 when 2nd behind 89 horse Stolli Bolli who ran a new peak of 103/101, that 89 was +13 so we knew there was still plenty in the tank. They are the only 2 worth following from this.
R2 We find the Trifecta in our top 4 with top pick and 1 x 3 play War Machine running 2nd. We were looking for 96 and got 100/99, so it looks like he has come on. the winner Baraquiel surprised me, up in trip off a neg split run jumping from 10 but the money kept coming and he made it 5 from 7 with 103/101. Looks most progressive. They had 4 lengths on the rest.
R3 My advice was to stay out of the 955m uber sprint , we did find the winner 92 horse Holy Rocket as an ...
Randwick Review 21/9
Import Eliyass outstanding again with 116/121
R2 saw our luxury top pick Gold Miner Perennial win after being $6 into $3.30, I had him 95 going in and got 98/89, even better we dodged the fav. Tickleberry Sr 97 and Tai Lung 94
Caulfield 21/9 Review
The Magic One takes Buckeroo to 114/109 in a big G1 win.
We were behind the 8 Ball from the get when Quantum Cat was most disappointing on face value, we predicted 95 from him and got 92/94. so not as bad as looked. I noted in my comment that the winner Whiskey on The Hill was coming off a career best XR 90 at 1800m and would need to go up another peg to win here and boy did he rating 98/99 relishing the 2000m. His win bought cheers from those who laid Flamin Romans who in retrospect i under rated. He did have XR 98 2 back in that handy Lincoln Rocks Lauding form line it was that SR 59 in SA last start that caused my doubt and again i break my own rules about laying horses with less than 10 starts. 96/96 is a nice new line for him. 3rd placed was 6yo Corona Lad who was a 99 horse back in 2022 and showed a glimmer last start with ...
Run To The Rose Day Review
- Star Mare Sunshine In Paris rates 106/107 going back to back in the G2 Sheraco
Rosehill - Run To The Rose Day
Flemington Review 14/9
Import Point King Into the Melbourne Cup off 108/115 in the Archer
As per usual with Melbourne the weather forecast was not even vaguely accurate, if those BoM dudes were paid ti[sters they would quickly be out of a job, The rain came and persisted and we slid through the Grades finishing on a Heavy track.
We kicked off the day in superb fashion with the $6.90 rated Gold Miner Moby Dick winning the 1st at $12. he was triple confirmed SR 91 in debut campaign and 91/96 here says he has come on. Headwall having only 4th run in a year returned to best when 2nd with 89/94., he has 93/95 on resume just over a year ago, So there is a race for him soon. Fav Nadal was weak with 85/85.
HTF - Headwall
R2 and nothing better than staying out and watching an unders horse win, I broke one of my rules in suggesting the Winner Dawn ...
Pinstriped Gets G1 Glory
Pinstriped - 113/111 as horse and barn grab maiden G1.
Its was another staggeringly good day once again where the winners just kept flowing and more importantly the numbers just kept lining up
Caulfield
G1 Winx Day Review
Huge from Joliestar in big big return win, 106/110 warns of better to come
I told you all it was the best betting day we had seen in some time and it turned into a fill up.
9 out of 10 in the top 4 with Specials Well Timed $4.20 into $3.30 before winning and Gold Miner Atmospheric Rock $17 into $11 both specials Dashing Duchess and Daggers both won in Melbourne and Best in Brissie Victory Win also won at a tasty $4.20
before I go into more here may i just say if you are on Twitter find me at GavinH@Horsetorque, I often post highlights and HTF as I do the numbers each week.
Randwick
We started the day in fine style with special Well Timed winning after the money came, I had him 91 going in and XR 89 here was just below that but always a delight to see numbers lining up
Into the 2nd we saw our Gold miner ...
The Premiership Races
Can Francis Lui come from behind to win the HK Trainers Premiership
the interest is in the trainers premiership with Pierre Ng holding a 1 win advantage over Francis Lui coming into the last day but neither have a runner in the first but Francis has Call Me Glorious at $1.50 in R2 and with a predicted rating of 99 our numbers have him also top pick. So we could well be all square going into the 3rd where PN has Medic Alert but he is a $14 chance.with Marvin having him longer than that.
In the 4th FL has Forever Glorious who ran 3rd as a Gold Miner for us last start with 95/97 reading well, he will be in my top 4 again and must be a chance but is currently $16 in early markets. R4 sees PN with the fav First Love who was +10 on debut and now ZR jumps on and he is $2.30 early, FL has debutant Packing Angel on debut off a trial win, he is $9 early. Into the 6th PN has ...
The Last G1 of the Season
We are back to Eagle Farm for the last G1 of the season with the running of the Tatts Tiara over 1400m for the F&M's
Bella Nipotina is the deserving Favourite following her 2nd against the boys in the G1 Stradbroke over the same T&D, she is triple confirmed SR 108 in 2024 and is just a fabulous mare and hasnt missed a cheque in her last 9 with the majority of those in the highest company. She come sin off 113/108 last time and is only up a kilo as she drops back to her own sex. She has amassed over $10 Million in prizemoney and you would just love her as a brood mare. Last start was her first go at 7 furlongs so she will be all the wiser for that with the only query that 17 gate and with regular rider Craig Williams on a humanitraian mission in Ukraine Ryan malloney gets the gig.
Semana was 6 lengths behind her in the Starbroke when resuming but ...
Do you bar La Crique or fill-up at Eagle Farm?
Group One performer La Crique. Photo: Trish Dunell
Star Kiwi-trained mare, LA CRIQUE, competes in Race 7 at Eagle Farm on Saturday, and the question is, do you climb on and fill up, or do you “bar” her?
LA CRIQUE competes following a 2nd at Rotorua to Karman Line where she ran a HorseTorque SR of 92 (XR 98/103), which was a perfectly respectable effort. She did so fitted with the dreaded bar ...
Eagle Farm Review
Antino now has the Stradbroke well in his sights
The Brisbane Winter carnival kicked off with Guineas day and we started the day with a tasty Gold Miner in the $4.30 rated Wapiti winning the BM90 at $8.50, he was a 91 horse going in and we got 93/91 so right on the money
R2 was a BM78 and the $3.60 rated Northern Decree won for us at $4.60 and we found the Trifecta in our top 4. The winner was a 91 horse going in was a strong 90/101 +11 and looks like he can go right on with it.
R3 We had Typhoon Taavi clearly on top here in the FM78 and she was smashed in the betting to start at a prohibitive $1.65. they walked and she won easily with 82/88 well down on her expected 94. Thats 3 on the bounce and she is going places. She is the onlu one to take from this.
R4 was a BM85 and I marked the resuming winner Zoes ...
Australia Cup Day Review
Evergreen 9yo Cascadian causes the upset going back to back in the G1 Australian Cup.
The first race of note was the Open Class Furphy Mile R3. We expected 96 from winner Arran Bay and we got 99/99 in a classic example of what Andrew Beyer called OXO. He ran a career peak 100/98 2 back then bounced with 85/94 and bounced straight back with the 99/99. Rated at $4.70 was $4.90 to $4.40 before a strong win. The eye catcher was runner up in import Galeron at 2nd Oz start after being beaten 10 lengths on Oz debut. 98/104 at first go the mile and looks primed to peak 3rd up. El Soleado was another OXO example as if to ram home the lesson. He had won 3 on the bounce peaking with 97/102 the bounced with 74/82 and bounced straight ...
William Reid Stakes Day Review
Is the Kiwi star going as well as in the Spring
The first piece of Black type was R2 the Listed Valley Pearl for the 2yo's and for those that played the strong debut numbers of Growing Empire held up, we had $2.20 and he was too strong winning at $4.40 but 88/84 was a big step down from his 96/97 over 1100m on debut.. Nothing else here raises the eyebrows.
The next piece of Black type was R5, The G2 Sunline for the Fillies & Mares. The winner Eternal Flame has gone to a whole new level this campaign following her G3 win last start where she rated 100/103 with 101/104. Runner Up Rumbled Again was 6 lengths off her at previous start ...
Slipper day Review
Import Post Impressionist makes a huge impact on Oz debut
We kicked off with top rated Electrica rated at $4.2 winning the 1st at $5, he won by 3 running a huge new career peak of 103/98. His XR's just keep improving the time in and it looks like the penny has finally dropped.
R2 was the G3 Manion over 2400m and my advice was to stay out with the import Post Impressionist heading the markets but i should of trusted my eyes, I put him up at $3.30 and for those that played he was a nice overlay winner at $3.90. He was staggeringly impressive rating 114/116 in a 3 length win and on that has the Sydney Cup at his mercy. I suggested VRC Derby winner Manzoice was on the way back after 100/107 last time out. He ran 2nd franking ...
Rosehill Review 16/3
It was a big day at Rosehill kicking off with the $5 rated Super Bright winning at a Gold Mining $8.50, we followed that with the $2.30 rated Wymark winning at $3.40 before we got to our first bit of Black type
Caulfield Review 16/3
Randwick Guineas Day Review
R2 was the G2 Riesling for the 2yo Fillies and my advice was to stay out as there were so many unknowns. We rated the winner Erno's Cube at $4 and she was $6 to $4. but only rated 79/80 and the winner was the only sub 23 second runner for the last 400m running 22.7 but these are the 2nd string 2yo baby girls and nothing worth following from here.
R3 was the Listed cCity Stakes at 2000m and our strong 1 x 3 play Almania came out and I hope you all followed him up on Sunday where I had him $1.70 when he won the Canberra Cup at 9/4. We ended with Military Mission on top and he ran 3rd as a $12 Gold Miner. He ended last campaign with 110/110 and he picked up where he left off with 103/110.The winner Serpentine is a staying type who surprised winning 1st up, he ...
Can Lucky Sweynesse bounce back
Over the last month here and in Oz we have seen a number of horses get beaten by pure weight of money and we dodged LUCKY SWEYNESSE when nothing went right as a $1.30 Fa. The run was obviously queried by Stewards with ZP stating he wanted to settle much closer but the horse lacked his usual early speed. He still got home +12 when finally clear and on that the return to 1400m looks ideal, a trip he is 3 for 3 at and I think he can bounce straight back. Looks a sound Win bet Bonus Bets tyle at $2.30. ZP is off to stick with 2nd pick but we get JMac who has a 100% record on the galloper.
ZP sticks with BEAUTY ETERNAL who comes off a G1 2nd with an XR 111 and the drop back in trip holds no fears as he hasnt ...
Randwick Review
R4 was the first of the Black type races for the day. The G2 Skyline for the 2yo boys and we had the the Slipper Fav Storm Boy odds on but he was just smashed in the betting starting at $1.18 and he did win easily enough but 94/92 was hardly awe inspiring with that SR 4 down on his SR 98 in the Magic Millions. We compare his times with Straight Charge whose last 2 SR's have been 103 and 99 but both at 1100m. Mind you still far superior so I am not so sure the Slipper is as clean cut as many think
R6 was the Sweet Embrace at G2 level for the 2yo girls and the Fav Manaal was heavily backed and franked that Lady Of Camelot formline after running 2nd to her first up but 89/83 was well below the boys and franked 89/92 from her first up. SO on this the girls were inferior to the boys today
R7 was the G1 Chipping Norton and again we saw ...
Rumble - Horsetorque TV
Hey crew I am trying to expand content a little and have started a Rumble Channel - Horsetorque TV I have a site tour video and a video on how the number generator work, head to https://rumble.com/c/c-790325 and give us a follow. I will be more and more active in the weeks ahead with a few requests of some live video of the form ...
NZ Cup Carnival at Riccarton: Horsetorque Performance Summary
NZ Cup Carnival at Riccarton: Horsetorque Performance Summary
Day 1: Starting strongly
The NZ Cup Carnival at Riccarton kicked off with LORD DONOVAN winning at a generous 5.5 bookies quote (and closing at $3.7 tote), against a rated price of 3.0. He became the ‘Horsetorque pin-up horse’ winning on each of the three days. Some effort from ...
Caulfield Review 18-11
There was certainly an on speed bias at Caulfield so ' worth of noting for the future
R4 Thoroughbred Club Stakes 3yo F G3 1200m
Our 1 x 3 play here was Saltaire who ran 3rd in a slowly run affair rating 83/92 which was down on expectations confirms my suspicions that she is better kept at 1100m. The winner Brazen Style was only having start 3 coming off a soft MDN win with an SR 77 so her 93/99 was a big step up and suggests she is very much on the up. Runner up Miraval Rose was also only having 3rd start coming off a 3 length MDN win with 93/98 also some very nice progression. We have seen over the years that at some point in a horses first 5 to 10 runs there is a big jump in ratings usually around 10 points, when that happens is the hard thing to assess. Our 1 x 3 strategy kept us safe.
R5 Village Stake Open Listed 1100m
A great result for us here with Gold Miner Hypothetical rated at $2.30 winning after being ...
Flemington 11-11 Review
R1 BM90
WATADEEL just lapped up the return to a mile, his last mile run was back in March where he was a strong winner 89/106 (+18), so no surprise to see 102/107 here. Von Hauke also relished his first run at a mile 101/104 was a career best and he had 2.5 lengths on 3rd. He is worth following. Our Gold Miner Excelleration was 5th but his 23.1 was actually fastest last 400m in the race with 91/101 (+10) a rock solid return.
HTF - Von Hauke
R2 Always Welcome Stakes Listed 1000m Open
We again find the trifecta in our top 4. General Beau finally got a 1200m win at 12 attempt at the trip and 89/92 shows us how. Top pick Parisal 87/91, with our 1 x 3 Gold Miner It'sourtime 86/92. They had panels on the others
R3 The Amanda Elliot Listed 3yo
Top pick Schwarz was only having 3rd ...
Cup Day Highlights
Cup Day Speed Rating Highlights
Without a Fight 116
The Map 115
Soulcombe 107
Sheraz 105
Forgot You 104
Roll On High 104
Pascero 102
Wiggum 102
Joliestar 101
Warning 101
Sectional rating Highlights
Without A Fight 120
Soulcombe 115
Sheraz 111
Roll On High 111
The Map 109
Joliestar 106
Ashrun 105
Pascero 105
Wiggum 104
Bermadez 103
Roll On High was a great result for us and 104/111 was outstanding and I think could be way above average the HTF from the ...
Flemington Derby Day Review
R1 Carbine Club G3 1600m 3yo
We find the Trifecta in our top 4 with the winner Kaizad rated at $6.60 a winning Gold Miner at $11. Numbers were slick with the winner going on from his 96/98 last start with 108/98. The Horse to follow was the runner up Heman who was peaking 3rd up out at the mile for the first time with 106/105 containing the best splits by far in the race. Brace Mead was also rock solid with 103/101
HTF- Heman
R2 The Archer G3 2500m Open
We find the Quinella in our top 3 in a small field staying race in which I was happy to stay out. The winner ...
Caulfield Cup Day Review
R2 G3 Neds Classic 3yo 2000m
Riff Rocket was a raging fav starting 3's on and we again see a horse beaten by pure weight of money, they just went oh so slowly the winner Sunsets was actually a Gold Miner rated at $10 winning at $16 but that Sr 83 was 16 points lower than standard. They just walked. Riff Rocket was home 22.6 83/102 +19. I am glad he didn't take off earlier and have a gut buster with his target still 2 weeks away. With that 105/115 2 back ringing loud he will still be our top pick in the Derby. The winner is no slouch and that racing style will ensure he is in the right place in all his races.
R3 G3 Ethereal Stakes 2000m 3yo F
My 1 x 3 play Autumn Angel rated at $3.9 won at $4.6 running down a valiant Tropical Squall who was a bullet dodged starting at $2 when rated $2.40. The winner franked her XR 99 at her previous start with 100/104 here suggesting she can continue to progress towards the Oaks from ...
Caulfield Highlights 23/9
Rosehill Highlights 23/9
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