Turnbull Day Review
Star mare Via Sistina is Cox Plate bound after 111/115 in her G1 Turnbull win.
Lets start at the top and go straight to the Turnbull where our top3 filled the podium. Our Gold Miner Eliyass ran 3rd after looking the winner half way down running but neg split with 104/100 and Via Sistina who had already racked up XR 110 and XR 115 produced a new peak 111/117. Worth noting here she is $5 in the Cox Plate with Japanese eraider Prognosis $4 Fav, we have seen him 3 times at 2000m at Shatin where he has a best SR of 115 and he is confirmed XR 111 running 2nd in 2 G1's the latest behind last years Cox Plate hero Romantic Warrior.. So is top draw. My personal doubt about Buckeroo getting a strong 2000m is now gone after the Magic One got 110/117 out of him. They ran the same XR yet this guy is $18 in the Cox Plate.
This will be a very strong form reference going forward.
On face value Moby Dick missing the podium in the 1st looked most disappointing but I had him on top with PR 96 and I got 102/101. We just had no idea an import was going to lift the race to a whole new level as the $12 rated Warnie produces 103/102 on Oz debut to win at $17. 103/101 was a huge peak for runner Zabella and when you look at 3rd placed Scheelites recent form is looks a huge peak for him but he isa 4yo who has had issues and was confirmed SR 98 as a 3yo and does have a G3 4th.
R2 was for the 2yo's and I noted winner Tremonte was $8.50 t0 4.6 in the mail out and he was into $4.20 by the jump We pricted 90 would win the race and we got 91/89. Shining Style and price tag filled the minors with with XR 88's. They are the only 3 to take from this.
R3 saw the 3yo's get out to 9 furlongs and for a race I didnt have anything forecast in the 90's it as usual comes up with something that just confuses me. Happens a lot with 1700m and 1800m races and not sure why. My advice was to stay out and we saw the bad value Fav become another victim of up in W&D syndrome. It was only start 4 off a provincial Maiden win but 115/120 is silly large in fact its a huge peak for all of them so not sure what we do with this. 6 of them posted more than Xr 110. Normal pre Derby staying confusion.
We had a delay and a huge downpour and the next R4 was run in terrible conditions and this rated so far down after the other so far up, we just need to note it going forward. Our 1 x 3 De Clichy Boulevard ran 2nd 89/81 but not interested in times here. The winner Too Darn Discreet 92/86 was actually a peak.
R5 was the G2 Danehill and we saw the top2 run 1-2 we expected 93 and got 97/95 from First Settler whilst Reserve bank went on nicely from his debut win with 97/91n Enriched XR 89 and Taupaulin XR 88n both get a pass.
R6 was the Listed Paris Lane and its the chaos ball that makes winning on the punt so much harder, Uncle Brynn at $61 produces 110/112 2nd up off a long injury lay off. he does have 112/11 in a 2000m placing just over a year ago This is why I like Laying horses, when this happens it works in your favour. We had 410 runner up Plenty of Ammo rated at $7.70. This lightly raced 6yo mare had won 4 of 5 coming into this and 104/105 says she has another win close by. The Magic One got Comrade Rosa to find best, she was confirmed SR 98 last season and right back to best with 102/106. we predicted 96 for the import and Fav Royal Champion and got 96/94. And ona quiet day for the Lays my only lay for the Day Jigsaw was gone at the 200m just how you like to see it.
Could one be any more annoyed with Just Fine winning, its like the phuken matrix watches you and does things just to pi$$ you off. This guy went back to back 121's early last Spring and has been going like a busted crab ever since, this time he finds the paint and rates 99/91 and somehow wins and gets a Melbourne Cup ticket. Please, who does Gai know, oh thats right Tommy works in Gods racing admin. Worse was that 1 x 3 Gold Miner Berkshire breeze couldnt find the podium after getting the run of the race 92/92 was most disappointing. The horse that beat him last time Point King was my 2nd pick and was a value runner up with 98/98 Out and out uber stayer Amade caught the eye 98/101. We also dodged Positivity, manzoice, St george and Post impressionist and still didn't find a profit.. And now you know why I have you always put the stand out leader in your Quaddie.
R9 was the G2 Gilgai and we found the Quinella in our top3 We expected 100 from the winner and 2nd pick Right To Party and got 101/103 which is franked by 103/107 also down the straight 6 3 back. We predicted 99 for runner up Arkansay Kid who was weak late with 101/94 whilst Stretan Angel was eye catching with 99/103 Magic Time loomed but ran out of gas 1st up 96/94.
I predicted 101 for top pick Skybird who ran 3rd with Xr 101. I noted the money for winner Revolutionary Miss and I did mention the confirmed Xr 100 and G2 success last time and when the money came you knew she was find best. She fell in with 96/94. Miss Aria who was confirmed Xr 101 last time in was the eye catcher with 95/105
Horses to Follow
Plenty of Ammo
Miss Aria
Stretan Angel
Amade
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